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Brazil’s Sustainable Biofuel Expansion: A Model for the Energy Transition

Emitido por elety
Assinado em 18/08/2026
Leitura de 15 min
Versão v1.0

Elaboration: POTENTIAL FOR BIOFUEL EXPANSION AND ITS EXTERNALITIES Why are “land-saving” techniques key to reducing impacts and increasing efficiency? Giventheimportanceofbiofuelsforajustenergytransition,“land-saving”techniquescanincrease agriculturalproductionwithoutexpandingcultivatedareas,promotingboththesustainableuseofnatural resourcesandtherecoveryofdegradedsoils.Thesetechniquesreconcileagriculturalgrowthwith environmentalconservation,enhancingproductionresilienceinthefaceofclimatechallenges. Learnmore:Potentialof“land-saving”techniquesinbiofuelproductioninBrazil MainfeedstocksforbiofuelproductioninBrazil FeedstocksBiofuels (cotton, palm oil, macaubapalm, canola) Sugarcane Soybean Animal fat Corn Other oilseeds Ethanol Biofuels TheTen-YearEnergyExpansionPlan(PDE2035)estimatesthatBrazilwillremainoneoftheleadingbiofuelproducers, thankstoitsabundantnaturalresourcesandthedevelopmentofadvancedproductiontechnologies,whichalsoboost thelocaleconomy,promoteenergysecurity,andgeneratejobs,especiallyinruralareas. “Land-Saving” Techniques The study aimed to quantify how much of the additional supply estimated by PDE 2035 could be met through “land-saving” strategies, while respecting current agronomic, logistical, economic, and environmental constraints. It also estimated the amount of food co-products generated, such as soybean meal, DDGS, corn oil, and sugar. Apioneerinpublicpolicyforbiofueluse,Brazilhasover90yearsofexperiencewithethanoland20yearswith biodiesel,contributingtomeetthecountry'sgrowingenergydemandwhileaddingsocialandenvironmental benefits. Brazilhasoneofthemostrenewableenergy(50%),electricity(88%),andtransportation(26%)matrices intheworld,areflectionofpublicpoliciesandhighproductivecapacity. Brazilholds60%oftheAmazonRainforestandyetranksamongthetopfiveglobalproducersoffoodand biofuels.In2024,itwasrecognizedasaglobalbioenergypowerandachievedahistoricmilestone:removed fromtheHungerMap,accordingtotheFAO * . BiofuelProductionGrowth 20billionlitersincreaseprojectedtomeetsustainable fueldemand(ethanol,biodiesel,biomethane,andSAF). Biofuel Production * Food and Agriculture organization of the United Nations Productivity gains Vegetable oils expansion Sequential cultivation Pasture restoration Waste utilization 27 33 1 10 16 37 50 00 10 20 30 40 50 60 20252035 Billion liters Sugarcane EthanolLignocellulosic ethanolCorn ethanolTotal 10 14 0 3 305 473 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 20252035 Million Nm³ Billion liters BiodieselSAFBiomethane

4,1 5,7 0,9 4,4 4,8 6,2 5,2 3,5 ProductivitySecond harvestResiduesRestorationOther Billion of liters Note: Icons used throughout this edition were obtained from the platform www.flaticon.com “Land-Saving” Techniques Job Creation Second Crop Corn7,306 E2G Residues2,787 Degraded Land – Sugarcane Ethanol67,939 Degraded Land – Corn Ethanol723 Degraded Land – Biodiesel18,708 Total 97,463 Theuseof'land-saving'techniquesmakesitpossibletomeettheentireincrementaldemandforbiofuelsinBrazilby2035,usingonlypartof thepotentialforproductivitygains,sequentialcultivationofsecond-cropcorn,restorationofdegradedland,andotheroilseedsinahigh- probabilityscenario—stillleavingroomforfutureexpansions. Energy crops occupy less than 2% of Brazil’s 851 million hectares! Inadditiontoregeneratingdegradedareas,biofuelexpansion providesimpactsrelatedtoco-productsupplyandjobcreation. Co-products Quantity (Mt) Meal12.8 Sugar6.3 DDGS (Corn Protein)5.1 Corn Oil0.3 Biofuelscontributetothehighrenewabilityofthenational energymatrixandtoaddressingclimateconditions. Brazilhasfollowedasuccessfulpathinpublicpoliciesaimed atleveragingtheopportunitiesprovidedbyitssoilandclimate conditions. Theapplicationof'land-saving'techniquesallowsfor increasedagriculturalproductionwithouttheneedtoexpand cultivatedareas,promotingthesustainableuseofnatural resourcesandtherecoveryofdegradedsoils. WHATDOTHERESULTSSHOW? BIOFUELS National legal framework Fuel of the Future RenovaBio PNPB* *National Program for Biodiesel Production and Use President Thiago Prado Director Heloisa Borges B. Esteves Technical Coordination Angela Oliveira da Costa For more: AnalysisOfBiofuels’CurrentOutlook Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plan EPE disclaims any responsibility for decisions or deliberations made based on the use of the information contained in this report, as well as for any misuse of such information. Published in: November/2025 Technical Team Arthur Cortez P. de Campos Danielle Borher de Andrade Euler João Geraldo da Silva Guilherme Correa Naresse Leônidas Bially O. dos Santos Luciano Basto Oliveira Marina Damião B. Ribeiro Paula I. da Costa Barbosa Rachel Martins Henriques Rafael Barros Araujo 851 Mha Planned and sustainable bioenergy expansion can create productive and institutional synergies that strengthen the resilience of food and energy systems. Brazil is following a successful path, incorporating family farming and committing to tackling climate change, eradicating hunger, and building a fairer, more inclusive, and equal world. Estimate using “land-saving” technique Used potential (dark color) vs Technical potential (light color) Optimizing land use is vital for biome preservation! Theuseof'land-saving'techniquesenablestheexpansionof biofuelswithoutputtingpressureonnativevegetation. Biofuelproductioncancontributetofoodsupplythroughits co-products:soybeanmeal,DDGS,oils,andsugar. Thisexpansioncouldgeneratenearly100,000jobs. Publicpoliciesthatpromoteanintegratedstrategyare essentialtoreconcilefoodproductionwithrenewableenergy generation. Note: Forthesecond-cropcorn,100%oftheproductionpotentialwasused. POTENTIAL FOR BIOFUEL EXPANSION AND ITS EXTERNALITIES Why are “land-saving” techniques key to reducing impacts and increasing efficiency? 4848 4 6 1 4 5 68 20252035 Billion liters Current productionProductivity2nd harvestResiduesRestorationOtherTotal Native vegetation Cities, macro-logistics, energy infrastructure, mining, and others Degraded pasture Non-degraded pastures Crops and planted forests Degraded pastureland suitable for cropping Energy crops Conversion of degraded pasture into energy crops Elaboration: